Friday , June 6 2025

Ukraine Braces for Putin’s Retaliation

06-06-2025

KYIV/ MOSCOW: A NATO official has echoed President Donald Trump’s warning that his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin will seek revenge for Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russia’s military airfields.

Following his phone call with the Russian president, Trump said Putin “will have to respond” to the attack on airfields, which Kyiv said damaged 41 aircraft including heavy bombers and A-50 spy planes.

As Trump’s envoy has warned the strikes risked escalation in the war, an unnamed NATO official told media that Russia would take “retaliatory actions” against Ukraine for its “Spiderweb” drone operation.

Experts have told Newsweek that, in response, Putin is likely to step up drone and missile attacks. Media has contacted the Kremlin and the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry by email for comment.

Why it matters?

Ukraine heralded the strikes on Russian airfields as far away as Siberia as a blow to Russia’s military capabilities. Pro-Russian Telegram channels have expressed anger at the lack of protection at the sites but the comments by Trump and his envoy will add to anticipation over what Putin will do in response.

What to know?

Trump said on the social-media platform Truth Social on Wednesday that, during his phone call with Putin, the leaders had discussed Ukraine’s attacks on airplanes.

The US president said Putin said “very strongly” that he would have to respond to Kyiv’s drone attacks without specifying what this would be nor whether he had urged restraint.

Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg, had earlier told Fox News that Ukraine’s attack on “part of their national survival system, which is their … nuclear triad,” had significantly increased the risk of escalation.

Cedomir Nestorovic, academic co-director at the ESSEC Institute for Geopolitics & Business, told media that, in response, Russia could launch massive drone attacks on Ukraine but probably not the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile that Putin has boasted about, nor any nuclear missiles. Aurelien Colson, from the same institute, told Newsweek that Putin’s response will be primarily military but his options are limited to missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities.

Zev Faintuch, head of research and intelligence at security firm Global Guardian, told media that Ukraine’s attack might slow the massive aerial bombardments of the major Ukrainian cities. However, the only way to bring the Russians to the negotiating table would be to halt their advances on the battlefield, he added.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said Wednesday that Putin used his call with Trump, in which they also discussed the train derailments in Russia that Moscow blamed on Kyiv, to portray Ukraine falsely as uninterested in peace and as a bad actor.

What people are saying?

President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social; “President Putin did say and very strongly that he will have to respond to the recent attack on the airfields.”

A NATO official said to The Moscow Times; “there will certainly be retaliatory actions that Russia will take and there will be defensive things that Russia will do.”

Aurelien Colson, academic co-director at the ESSEC Institute for Geopolitics & Business, said; “(Putin) will probably launch another larger air attack on Ukrainian cities and infrastructures, through missiles and drones,” adding that “going nuclear at the tactical level is excluded,” due to China’s opposition to such a move. (Int’l Monitoring Desk)

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