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07-11-2023
OTTAWA/ NEW DELHI: Mending frayed diplomatic relations between India and Canada will be a long process after each side adopted maximalist positions, despite New Delhi’s surprise move to ease some visa curbs on Canadians, officials and experts say.
India recently decided to partially restore visa services, weeks after suspending them in anger at Ottawa’s claim that Indian agents may have been involved in the murder of a Canadian Sikh separatist leader from Punjab state.
Mutual recriminations since that accusation, which India strongly denies, have strained ties between the two countries – close for almost a century and with extensive links through the Sikh diaspora – to their worst in memory and while India’s relaxation on visas may have raised some expectations of improved relations, it was not a breakthrough, as neither side has much incentive to hasten a return to normalcy, officials and experts in both countries said.
Neither New Delhi nor Ottawa looks likely to take dramatic steps to reconcile soon as Canada’s murder investigation proceeds and Prime Minister Narendra Modi prepares for Indian national elections by May.
“The relationship is in deep crisis, perhaps its worst ever,” said Michael Kugelman, director of the South Asia Institute at the Wilson Center in Washington. “Each side may have a strong interest in the crisis not getting completely out of control, but that doesn’t mean there are strong incentives to resolve the crisis.”
Ajay Bisaria, India’s ambassador to Canada from 2020 to 2022, said the relationship is in a “de-escalation phase” following “quiet diplomacy”.
Even with the reprieve, the visa curbs are expected to hinder the movement of tens of thousands of Indians and people of Indian origin who live in Canada or plan to study there.
Although both governments have spared business and trade links, the acrimony has delayed discussions on a free-trade deal and threatens Group of Seven member Canada’s Indo-Pacific plans, where New Delhi is critical to efforts to check an increasingly assertive China.
On Sept. 18 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Canada was “actively pursuing credible allegations” linking Indian government agents to the June killing in a Vancouver suburb of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, 45, who had advocated the fringe position seeking to carve an independent Sikh homeland of Khalistan out of India.
Canada expelled India’s intelligence chief in Ottawa. India quickly responded by halting 13 categories of visas for Canadians and cutting Canada’s diplomatic presence in India, a move Ottawa said violated the Vienna Conventions.
Then on Oct. 25, New Delhi said it would resume issuing visas under four categories, a measure Indian officials said aims to help people of Indian origin travel to India during the wedding season beginning this month.
“This is not a thaw,” an Indian foreign ministry official told Reuters. “People can read whatever they want into it.”
Ottawa triggered the crisis and must take the first step towards climbing down from its position, another official said. (Int’l Monitoring Desk)
