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18-02-2025
Bureau Report + Agencies
SYDNEY: The majority of Australian voters want the current Labor government out of office, posing a threat to Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s re-election plans just months ahead of a national election as his approval rating hit its lowest point, a widely watched poll showed on Monday.
A Newspoll conducted for The Australian newspaper said a hung parliament would be the most likely outcome if the poll numbers were to be replicated at an election due by May.
Some 53% of 1,244 voters surveyed said they did not believe the Labor government deserved to be re-elected with Albanese’s approval rating hitting a record low of minus 21, his worst as prime minister. A total of 34% said Labor should be re-elected.
The Albanese-led Labor government is struggling to lift support despite a slew of measures aimed at pleasing families and businesses grappling with high living costs and boosting jobs.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has held its monetary policy restrictive, keeping rates steady at 4.35% for more than a year as it looks to bring inflation to its target band of 2%-3% while preserving employment gains but core inflation is now almost back in the RBA’s target band and markets widely expect the central bank on Tuesday to cut rates for the first time since late 2020.
The latest Newspoll survey showed the opposition Liberal-National Coalition has maintained its 51-49 lead on a two-party-preferred basis under Australia’s preferential voting system, where votes from minor parties are redistributed until a winner is elected.
Labor’s primary vote remained stuck on 31% compared to its 2022 election result of 32.6%, indicating Labor could lose up to eight seats preventing Albanese from forming a majority government, the survey said.
A party needs 76 seats to govern in majority. Labor won 77 seats in 2022 and the coalition 58.
Even as more voters are turning against Labor, the opposition coalition has failed to capitalise on it with minor parties and independents lifting its support by a point, the survey said.
Albanese’s approval ratings slumped six points to -20, his worst as prime minister and lower than that of opposition leader Peter Dutton. On the preferred prime minister index, Albanese fell 1 point to 44%, while Dutton rose 3 points to 41%.
Some 53% of voters predict the opposition coalition to win the election in its own right or in a minority government compared with 47% for Labor, marking a reversal of sentiment from six months ago when Labor was tipped to retain power, the poll showed.
The latest polling is a blow to the Albanese-led Labor government as it struggles to lift support despite a slew of measures aimed to please families and businesses grappling with high living costs and boost jobs.
Australia’s core inflation slowed in November, keeping the door open to a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) when it meets next month, though the inflation figures for December due on Wednesday will give markets more clarity.
The RBA has held its policy restrictive keeping rates steady for a year at 4.35% as it looks to bring inflation to its target band of 2%-3% while preserving employment gains. The central bank unexpectedly turned dovish last month as economic growth has stayed anaemic.
